Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.163137 0.183963 0.205871 0.230582 0.257625 0.286266 0.318839
2025-04-06 0.134280 0.162179 0.193107 0.229754 0.271800 0.318336 0.373539
2025-04-13 0.113372 0.145470 0.182714 0.228733 0.283647 0.346654 0.423959
2025-04-20 0.099286 0.134508 0.177066 0.231600 0.298901 0.378485 0.478895
2025-04-27 0.089656 0.127564 0.175053 0.237886 0.317709 0.414560 0.539655
2025-05-04 0.079641 0.118825 0.169644 0.238943 0.329391 0.441754 0.590013
2025-05-11 0.073021 0.113745 0.168232 0.244548 0.346531 0.475837 0.649592
2025-05-18 0.067557 0.109588 0.167482 0.250590 0.364061 0.510603 0.710751
2025-05-25 0.060379 0.102195 0.161556 0.248949 0.370896 0.531317 0.754003
2025-06-01 0.054569 0.096196 0.157005 0.248673 0.379192 0.553824 0.799845
2025-06-08 0.049303 0.090473 0.152324 0.247720 0.386195 0.574474 0.843435
2025-06-15 0.046266 0.087948 0.152118 0.253061 0.402022 0.607333 0.904081
2025-06-22 0.041986 0.083089 0.148141 0.252753 0.409977 0.629946 0.951974
2025-06-29 0.038108 0.078508 0.144220 0.252200 0.417387 0.651850 0.999321
2025-07-06 0.034568 0.074140 0.140277 0.251283 0.424048 0.672700 1.045547
2025-07-13 0.032177 0.071579 0.139058 0.254477 0.436860 0.702572 1.105093
2025-07-20 0.030655 0.070463 0.140139 0.261313 0.455354 0.741062 1.177721
2025-07-27 0.028301 0.067517 0.137859 0.262484 0.465014 0.766718 1.232314
2025-08-03 0.026929 0.066349 0.138563 0.268545 0.482429 0.804189 1.304782
2025-08-10 0.025726 0.065396 0.139555 0.275068 0.500702 0.843290 1.380363
2025-08-17 0.023448 0.061974 0.135827 0.273304 0.505527 0.862093 1.426241
2025-08-24 0.021571 0.059194 0.133066 0.273010 0.512613 0.884378 1.477618
2025-08-31 0.019768 0.056372 0.130009 0.271984 0.518360 0.904618 1.526196